CNN debate criteria would allow Joe Biden to participate

28 Sep 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

‘Yes we can’ 2.0? Why Joe Biden is running for president – and why he’s not.

CNN announced its debate criteria on Monday, making clear that Vice President Joe Biden will have the chance to make it onto the first debate stage on Oct. 13, should he declare.

It defies what little logic there is left to prognostication, given that one in four voters want the current vice-president to stay in the White House – and that he nips at every runaway lead Hillary Clinton has ever had, whenever his name comes up in a poll. In order to qualify for the debate stage, candidates must have achieved an average of 1 percent in three polls, recognized by CNN, released between Aug. 1 and Oct. 10. And the prospect of an election without the US’s beloved No2 certainly defies the logic of any media revenue model, which contemplates in this case a fight to the political death between two Washington friends, and sees a bonanza. Biden went on to say in a recent interview with the Jesuit magazine America that he’s not prepared to say that to other people who have a different view.

A look back at his previous White House campaigns – and the weaknesses Biden demonstrated as a candidate then – suggests significant hazards he may face, should he move forward this time. If he will not speak up, or do anything to limit a procedure he believes is “always wrong” or to protect what he believes is the “human life and being” of unborn children, then he clearly lacks the courage, personal fortitude and principles to become the next president.

All five declared Democratic candidates—Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Jim Webb, and Lincoln Chafee—have been invited to participate in the debate, CNN said. But pollsters, party operatives and confidantes agreed: the best set-up for a Biden moment would be a Clinton implosion – and it might be near. “There just wasn’t a place for him in the race” against Clinton and Barack Obama in 2008, said Robert Shrum, the Democratic consultant who worked on the failed campaigns of John Kerry and Al Gore. “In every presidential race, if you’re going to succeed, you’ve got to have a place.

If Deval receives one-tenth of Mitt’s media scrutiny, he will get pummeled over the series of NECC meningitis deaths that occurred under failed state oversight. The 44-year-old senator caved after a series of minor controversies, including his use of a line by the British Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock without attribution. With little time to campaign and try to clean up the mess, due to overseeing as chair of the Senate judiciary committee the controversial nomination process of Robert Bork to the US supreme court, Biden decided to drop out. “He was on a trajectory to win,” said Iowa state senator Tony Bisignano, a longtime Biden supporter who recalled the Delaware senator had “one of the best organizations I’ve ever seen – full of young, talented recruits who were really neophytes but had lots of talent”.

During Patrick’s tenure in office, instead of cutting property taxes as promised, he raised tolls, fees, the sales tax, the gas tax and utility taxes, and double-taxed alcohol. CNN anchor Anderson Cooper will moderate, while CNN Chief Political Correspondent Dana Bash, CNN en Español Anchor Juan Carlos Lopez and CNN anchor Don Lemon will present questions. Before Biden joined the winning ticket that year, his own second presidential run ended just as badly, culminating in a fifth-place finish in first-in-the-nation Iowa. Maybe the Biden/Patrick slogan can be: “If you like your money, you cannot keep it.” With Patrick on the ticket, every voter will be able to spell EBT. Biden/Patrick will have to defend 19,000 missing welfare recipients, huge EBT card balances, vacationing on EBT, using EBT for bail, refusing to say whether or not marathon bombers were getting welfare, and the list goes on and on.

While Biden attempts to relate to the nation’s middle class, you can expect Republican operatives to undermine that message by pointing out that Deval spent $11 million to make over his office. This time, months of seeming inactivity on the campaign front as well as the death of his eldest son Beau in May have removed the vice-president from the daily conversation of who is up and who is down. That list includes $1 billion for the health connector website, $30 million for Evergreen Solar, $2.2 million for transgender reassign- ment coverage, $55 million for the abandoned Department of Revenue website, and $332 million for the crime lab scandal.

And on Saturday night, Biden’s official Twitter account sent a message: It was a quote from a politician onstage at a benefit concert featuring Beyoncé, but it sounded a lot like “yes we can” 2.0. By morning, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found the invisible candidate shaking up the race once more: It is that the Democrats already have a strong presidential candidate in Clinton.

While it is true that Clinton’s favorability rating is languishing among all voters, her favorability among Democrats is as robust as Biden’s, at nearly 75%. In a theoretical match-up including Biden, Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and others like former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley, Clinton displays a prohibitive advantage over Biden among women and non-white Democratic voters.

Clinton’s relatively strong performance among women, should it hold, is particularly important, given that a 55%-plus majority of voters in Democratic primaries and caucuses are expected to be women. “It’s not a surprise that Clinton does well with women voters, and that’s a great part of her early advantage in the primary because the primary electorate is so overwhelmingly female,” said Margie Omero, a Democratic pollster. “I don’t think that that means that the door is closed for Biden. I think he can make a case with both men and women voters,” she said, “but he hasn’t campaigned yet.” If Biden did jump in, and stole voters exclusively from Clinton, he could catch up with her among Democratic sub-groups. The FBI is investigating her email habits – the government just uncovered two tranches of correspondence that she failed to turn over – and she is scheduled to testify before Congress next month about her emails and about the 2012 attack in Benghazi, Libya. You’re talking about a sitting vice-president here.” In any other year, the near-total name recognition and extensive White House experience that come with being vice-president would be qualities exclusive to one candidate. Not so in 2016. “As much as he realizes that this is his last chance, he’s smart enough to realize that you just don’t enter on a whim, without clear backing from powerful Democrats,” said Scala of UNH.

On the trail in 1988, Biden began as “young and Kennedy-esque”, Shrum said, but fell victim to sloppiness within his own campaign: “He was a very exciting candidate – on the move – and then events intervened.” Biden repeatedly adapted lines by Britain’s Kinnock about a platform of opportunity, in each case crediting Kinnock. Then, at the end of a debate, Biden quoted the lines without mentioning Kinnock – and rival campaigns pounced, accusing him of plagiarism. “I made a mistake. He had a timeless debate moment with a line about the early Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani, whom he called “probably the most under-qualified man since George Bush to seek the presidency”. “Rudy Giuliani,” said Biden. “There’s only three things he mentions in a sentence: a noun and a verb and 9/11.

I mean there’s nothing else.” Despite being hit by what one Biden supporter described as “a political tsunami”, he still turned out more identified supporters in Iowa in 2008 than Kerry did in 2004 when he won the caucus. In 2008 he ran on his experience, which even then was formidable. “Above all else that’s why I’m running for president of our great country,” he said in an announcement video. “The next president of the United States is going to have to be prepared to immediately step in and act without hesitation to end our involvement in Iraq without further destabilizing the Middle East and the rest of the world.” Since that video was made, Biden has spent nearly a decade as the point person for US policy in Iraq.

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