Democratic insiders: Joe Biden won’t run

28 Aug 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Biden for president? He could give Texas Democrats a tough choice.

The vast majority of Democratic insiders from the early states don’t believe Joe Biden will run for president, despite evidence that he is seriously considering a 2016 bid. Continuing his consideration of a 2016 run, Vice President Joe Biden had AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka over for lunch Thursday at the Naval Observatory, according to a source familiar with the meeting. That’s the assessment of the POLITICO Caucus, our weekly bipartisan survey of the top strategists, activists and operatives in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Their responses come as speculation swirls about whether the vice president will jump into the Democratic primary against his longtime colleague, and likely nominee, Hillary Clinton. “He’s a truly wonderful man universally loved by NH Democrats, but I can’t imagine him undertaking such a monumental underdog effort at such a difficult time for his family and with the massive monetary, people and campaign advantages of the Clinton campaign,” a New Hampshire Democrat said, referring to the recent death of Biden’s son, former Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden. “An objective reading of VP Biden’s chances of winning the nomination will force him to accept the reality that he should not enter the race for the Democratic nomination,” an Iowa Democrat said. “He will flirt with it, but at the end of the day he won’t run,” an Iowa Democrat said. “There isn’t a real path here for him to the White House this late in the game.” “Unless the e-mail thing gets demonstrably worse for Hillary, Biden will heed the advice of his wife and stay out of the race,” said a New Hampshire Democrat, who like all POLITICO Caucus participants was granted anonymity in order to speak freely. The Democrat’s strategy heading into Democratic National Committee meeting in Minneapolis on Friday is aimed at dismissing the idea now fueling Biden supporters that her campaign is going off the rails, strategists, donors and political allies familiar with Brooklyn’s thinking told POLITICO. Several other insiders pointed to the vice president’s challenging family circumstances, and to the idea that his wife, Jill Biden, is said to be uninterested in another national run.

But that may be a hard sell: Biden was a key member of the Obama administration’s push for fast-track trade authority and the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations this spring, which organized labor fiercely opposed. But there was plenty of hand-wringing — and potshots — from insiders on both sides of the aisle who said they were flummoxed by his seeming ability to defy political gravity. “Let’s see, what if he insulted a POW… wait. Clinton actively avoided taking a position — though even that was much to the frustration of people like Trumka, who told POLITICO earlier this year that coming out against the deal would “put some wind in her sails” with labor. Bernie Sanders. “People are curious,” said Ron Kirk, the former Dallas mayor who served in the Obama Cabinet for four years with Biden and Clinton during his stint as trade representative. “There’s a lot of excitement for Secretary Clinton, but Joe Biden is as loved as anybody.

In today’s campaign news, HILLARY CLINTON talks gun violence in Ohio, rips Republicans on women’s health and has a plan to smother BERNIE SANDERS and stanch Joementum. Like other Texas Democratic leaders, he says a Biden-Clinton contest would leave the winner stronger, as Obama and Clinton sharpened each other in 2008. COMING ATTRACTIONS: The Associated Press: Presidential candidates DONALD TRUMP and TED CRUZ are planning to appear together at an upcoming Capitol Hill rally against the proposed nuclear deal with Iran.

Trump announced the event during an appearance Thursday in South Carolina, saying it would be “in the next few weeks.” Cruz aides confirmed Trump’s statement. For that matter, how many national front runners in 2007 or 2011 had their town hall meetings carried live in prime time before there was a nominee?” And some insiders expressed hope that when the field narrowed, more voters would coalesce around a smaller number of candidates, forcing Trump down in the polls.

I don’t think anybody else could get into the race this late and have a credible chance to be competitive,” he said. “A lot of people I know would be legitimately torn … and most of the folks I know are not going to choose.” Biden collected a modest $300,000 from Texas donors in his own short-lived 2008 campaign, which ended long before the Texas primary. If someone tells you they know, you know it’s amateur hour.” Iowa: Tim Albrecht, Brad Anderson, Rob Barron, Jeff Boeyink, Bonnie Campbell, Dave Caris, Sam Clovis, Sara Craig, Jerry Crawford, John Davis, Steve Deace, John Deeth, Derek Eadon, Ed Failor Jr., Karen Fesler, David Fischer, Doug Gross, Steve Grubbs, Tim Hagle, Bob Haus, Joe Henry, Drew Ivers, Jill June, Lori Jungling, Jeff Kaufmann, Brian Kennedy, Jake Ketzner, David Kochel, Chris Larimer, Chuck Larson, Jill Latham, Jeff Link, Dave Loebsack, Mark Lucas, Liz Mathis, Jan Michelson, Chad Olsen, David Oman, Matt Paul, Marlys Popma, Troy Price, Christopher Rants, Kim Reem, Craig Robinson, Sam Roecker, David Roederer, Nick Ryan, Tamara Scott, Joni Scotter, Karen Slifka, John Smith, AJ Spiker, Norm Sterzenbach, John Stineman, Matt Strawn, Phil Valenziano, Jessica Vanden Berg, Nate Willems, Eric Woolson, Grant Young New Hampshire: Charlie Arlinghaus, Arnie Arnesen, Patrick Arnold, Rich Ashooh, Dean Barker, Juliana Bergeron, D.J. Bettencourt, Michael Biundo, Ray Buckley, Peter Burling, Jamie Burnett, Debby Butler, Dave Carney, Jackie Cilley, Catherine Corkery, Garth Corriveau, Fergus Cullen, Lou D’Allesandro, James Demers, Mike Dennehy, Sean Downey, Steve Duprey, JoAnn Fenton, Jennifer Frizzell, Martha Fuller Clark, Amanda Grady Sexton, Jack Heath, Gary Hirshberg, Jennifer Horn, Peter Kavanaugh, Joe Keefe, Rich Killion, Harrell Kirstein, Sylvia Larsen, Joel Maiola, Kate Malloy Corriveau, Maureen Manning, Steve Marchand, Tory Mazzola, Jim Merrill, Jayne Millerick, Claira Monier, Greg Moore, Matt Mowers, Terie Norelli, Chris Pappas, Liz Purdy, Tom Rath, Colin Reed, Jim Rubens, Andy Sanborn, Dante Scala, William Shaheen, Stefany Shaheen, Carol Shea-Porter, Terry Shumaker, Andy Smith, Craig Stevens, Kathy Sullivan, Chris Sununu, James Sununu, Jay Surdukowski, Donna Sytek, Kari Thurman, Colin Van Ostern, Deb Vanderbeek, Mike Vlacich, Ryan Williams But he sees an opening only if she stumbles. “Most Democrats are very pleased and satisfied with Hillary Clinton and think she’d make an excellent president.

He’s had the presidential political bug before,” McGarr said. “Texas Democrats have enormous respect and affection for Joe Biden,” said Dallas attorney Marc Stanley, a major Democratic financier who will host Clinton at his home for a fundraiser on Sept. 22. Hinojosa, the Texas Democratic chairman, said he hasn’t been courted and hasn’t heard of any effort to round up support for Biden. “Hillary’s going to survive all of this stuff,” he said. People want choices in elections.” And most Democrats would be confident with either candidate against the GOP nominee, whether that’s billionaire Donald Trump or someone else, Kirk said.

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