Exclusive: Trump lead among Republicans undiminished in first poll after …

12 Dec 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

CEO Daily: Saturday, December 12th.

As the presidential race tilts off its axis, it can be easy to miss some of the real-time, real-world consequences. WASHINGTON/NEW YORK: Donald Trump held onto his commanding lead in the Republican race for the White House after his call for a ban on Muslims entering the United States was condemned worldwide, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, the first national survey conducted entirely after the billionaire’s remarks.Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump accused Hillary Clinton Friday of being responsible for the refugee crisis that led “hundreds of thousands or maybe millions” of Syrians and Iraqis to flee their homes. “And she calls me dangerous?” Trump said, recalling Clinton’s secretary of state tenure, during a closed-door Pennsylvania Republican Party event at the Plaza Hotel, according to attendees. “Trump is creating violence in our community,” said protester Jamila Manmani of the Responsible Endowment Coalition, who said security personnel threw him to the ground before he was forced to leave. Trump led the pack of candidates seeking the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2016 election with 35 per cent of support from Republican voters, the opinion poll released on Friday found, the same lead he held before Monday, when he said Muslim immigrants, students and other travelers should be barred from entering the country. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is threatening to ice the 12-nation pact until after the 2016 elections, an acknowledgment in part that the populist crosswinds stirred by the campaign make Congressional approval in the next year a long shot.

First, his Muslim-bashing, popular with American rednecks, will drive more Muslims into the arms of the Daesh and other groups who will point to their victimisation and brainwash them into lone wolf or group acts of terror. Most Republican voters said they were not bothered by his remarks, though many said the comments could still hurt Trump’s chances of becoming president.

The Kentucky Republican, in an interview this week with the Washington Post, said it’d be a “big mistake” for President Obama to send up the deal any earlier and suggested his successor should determine its fate. Although it will still be a tiny fraction of the world’s over 1.6 billion Muslims, there will be an undoubted increase in the number of such outrage all over the globe. Twenty-nine percent of Republicans, who will pick the party’s nominee for the November 2016 election, said they found Trump’s remarks offensive against 64 per cent who did not. “He’s really saying what everybody else is feeling,” said Donna Fee, 57, a personal caregiver from Missouri. Americans will not be spared unless the US can effectively withdraw itself into a kind of fortress America which one sometimes feels is where Trump wants to drive his country – the country that invented globalisation!

Back then, McConnell and the rest of Congressional Republican leadership locked arms with the business community and the Obama administration in an unlikely coalition that narrowly secured fast-track negotiating authority to smooth completion of the pact. Even his Republican rivals cannot countenance his declaration of war against the religion of Islam for the work of the very few, as has indeed always been the case by any group from any religious denomination or background.

Yet those Republican rivals of his do not go so far as to say they will not vote for him should he win their party’s nomination despite the clear prejudice he holds. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson came in second among Republicans with 12 per cent in the Reuters/Ipsos poll, and US Senator Ted Cruz of Texas and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush tied with 10 per cent. Trump’s statement was by far the most dramatic response of a US presidential candidate to last week’s shooting spree in California by a married couple whom the FBI later said had become Islamist militants some time ago. Samuel Huntington’s clash of civilisations will be unleashed, even if not in the form the late scholar had envisaged, as it would really be one between the uncivilised.

The poll had a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 5 percentage points. “He said stop letting them in temporarily until Homeland Security… can get a hold of what in the heck is going on and give us a little more protection,” said Ardith Forrest, 76, of Georgia. And pharmaceutical companies are protesting that the deal shaves four years of intellectual property protections off of next-generation biologic drugs — a major stumbling block for Senate Finance Chairman Orrin Hatch, from Utah, a growing industry hub. The administration will do what it can, arguing that while the U.S. dithers, China is racing to wrap up its own multilateral agreement to cement its primacy in the Asia-Pacific region. The latest evidence came this week from a pair of endorsements for the freshman senator — from Chicago hedge fund magnate Ken Griffin and North Carolina entrepreneur Art Pope.

Fortune As Hillary Clinton solidifies her grip on the Democratic presidential nomination, her team increasingly trains its attention on sizing up the Republican field that will eventually produce her general election matchup. There was never such Western establishment responses to the horror of the Sabra and Shatila massacres over two days in September 1982 when up to 3,500 Muslim men, women and children were tortured and killed by the Christian Phalange in Lebanon as the Israeli defence forces watched grippingly. Never mind the three so-called Gaza Wars during the time Barack Obama has been President of the US, starting with a slap in the face operation in 2008-09 just as he was sworn in. David Brock, one of Clinton’s most trusted lieutenants, this week laid out the case for Cruz’s emergence and the arguments the Democrats will marshall to bring him down. But the fact that Brock can make the argument for Cruz with a straight face reveals something worth considering about the state of the Republican contest.

Cruz just acknowledged in a private briefing that he’s strategically sought to avoid a confrontation with the candidate whose voters he hopes to gather, in part because he doesn’t view Trump as a serious threat down the stretch. Unsurprisingly, that revelation prompted a rebuttal from Trump, the first indication that a long-simmering battle between the two may finally be joined. It would undo the little good President Obama might have achieved with his rebalance strategy and drive countries in South-East Asia in particular into China’s arms. China’s per capita income – with all that huge population – doubled in just one decade after Deng Xiaoping set it on the course of modernisation whereas it took Great Britain nearly six decades to do so after the Industrial Revolution and the US five decades to do the same after its Civil War.

China will become one of the most powerful economies in the world and will overtake the US as the world’s wealthiest nation, though not immediately on a per capita basis. Leaders in the field of strategic studies like Hugh White of the Australian National University see this Chinese grip when he noted Asia cannot continue to change economically without changing politically and strategically. They have spent the best part of the last eight years trying to negate the election of a black president and, in pursuit of their prejudice, have been willing to harm American national interest. Maybe better – certainly less hypocritical – what Kaplan described as China’s “low-calorie version of authoritarianism.” The kind of America Trump will lead will no longer attract the best and brightest, or produce them. Tan Sri Munir Majid, chairman of Bank Muamalat and visiting senior fellow at LSE Ideas (Centre for International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy), is also chairman of CIMB Asean Research Institute.

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