Hillary Clinton has double-digit leads over potential GOP presidential rivals, poll …

22 Jan 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Hillary Clinton has double-digit leads over potential GOP presidential rivals, poll shows.

Hillary Rodham Clinton holds double-digit leads over potential Republican challengers Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney as the likely Democratic presidential candidate moves closer to entering the race, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. On the day before he was to accept the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, Mitt Romney sat on a couch in his Tampa hotel suite surrounded by crying toddlers and other family members, griping about all the bases he was expected to touch in his convention speech. “There are a lot of things I have to cover — I’m pro-life, I’m pro-traditional marriage, pro-religious tolerance,” Romney said. “I have to go through Afghanistan, Syria.

Hillary Clinton’s potential place in history and her husband’s tenure in the White House boost her presidential prospects, while Jeb Bush’s political legacy and Mitt Romney’s 2012 run for the office are negatives, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds.SALT LAKE CITY — Outlining his possible rationale for a third presidential bid, Mitt Romney said Wednesday night that political leaders in both parties are failing to address the nation’s most pressing problems — climate change, poverty and education reform, among them — as he acknowledged lessons learned from his failed 2012 presidential campaign. “Why run for office in the first place?” Romney asked aloud as he addressed a sold-out crowd of about 3,000 at an investment management conference in Utah. “The major challenges that this country faces are not being dealt with by leaders in Washington.” The 2012 Republican presidential nominee’s appearance was his second public address since privately telling potential donors earlier in the month that he’s considering a 2016 presidential campaign.Taking heart to the saying “third time’s the charm,” Mitt Romney has shaken up the nascent 2016 presidential race with his announcement that he may not be done seeking the presidency. Although Clinton, Bush and Romney are all longtime politicians and members of political dynasties, registered voters are less likely to count that familiarity against Clinton. The national survey finds 53 to 56 percent support for Clinton among registered voters against each of these potential Republican candidates, while they get 39 to 41 percent.

He used his remarks to broaden a populist platform he first touched on last week that marks a sharp shift from the rhetoric of his first two campaigns. You’ve got to cover every single topic.” When one of Romney’s sons, Josh, said he disagrees, Romney replied, “But that’s what you have to do or you will be facing the media as to why you’re trying to hide from this issue.” As it turned out, Romney omitted any mention of the war in Afghanist”Mitt” traileran and failed to praise U.S. troops in his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention, sparking days of media consternation and attacks from President Obama’s campaign. The Tampa hotel interaction is included in three bonus scenes from the Netflix documentary “Mitt,” which were released this week on the film’s one-year anniversary by the project’s director, Greg Whiteley. She joked about the anticipation surrounding her decision during remarks in Canada on Wednesday but did not offer hints about her thinking or the timing of a possible announcement. Romney spent little time talking about poverty, the middle class or climate change in a 2012 campaign in which opponents cast him as an out-of-touch millionaire.

Bush proposed the meeting, according to one of the party members familiar with the planning, who did not want to be quoted by name in discussing a secret meeting. But in public and private conversations in recent weeks he has focused on poverty, perhaps above all, a dramatic shift for the former private-equity executive.

The “Mitt” documentary chronicles Romney’s 2008 and 2012 campaigns with rare, behind-the-scenes access to the candidate and his family. “Being allowed to film the Romneys while they run for president ought to be a ride at Disneyland. And that’s just what I did,'” Romney said with a chuckle. “I learned some lessons, too.” Romney had previously acknowledged that climate change is real, noting in his 2010 book that “human activity is a contributing factor.” But he questioned the extent to which man was contributing to the warming of the planet and said throughout his 2012 campaign that America shouldn’t spend significant resources combatting the problem — particularly with major polluters like China doing little. The former Massachusetts governor also criticized Obama’s State of the Union address, saying the president had minimized the threat of radical, violent jihadism and terror attacks in Paris. “This is a very serious threat the world faces,” he said. “And to minimize that, and sort of brush it aside with a few minutes of discussion, I thought was disappointing.” At times during the speech, he appeared equal parts candidate and economics professor, gesturing from behind a podium to a projected slideshow of graphs and pie charts of the federal debt and poverty rates.

Among all voting-age adults, more than 6 in 10 say the fact that Bill Clinton served as president has no bearing on whether they would support Hillary Clinton’s candidacy. The bonus documentary footage shows Romney at the Tampa convention spending time with his family, advisers and running mate Paul Ryan in his hotel suite and backstage at the convention hall.

Before the speech — tickets were sold to the public — Romney spoke to a private dinner of about 130 clients of Diversify Inc., the investment firm that sponsored the event. And among those who say her spouse’s presidency will matter, 23 percent say it will make them more likely to support her, while 14 percent say less likely.

Also included are scenes where Romney leads his advisers on a tour of Cranbrook School, his Detroit area prep school alma mater, as well as a prank call during the 2008 campaign from one of his sons faking an impersonation of then-California Gov. Tyler Fagergren, a manager with the firm, said people asked Romney questions about the economy and investment but were not allowed to ask about a possible 2016 campaign. Both men have been making a flurry of phone calls to Republican donors and officials to sound them out and gather commitments ahead of what could be a bruising primary race.

A presumed voter distaste for dynasties has long been seen as a barrier to Clinton should she run, along with a sense, off-putting to some, that Clinton’s candidacy has been a foregone conclusion for years. The last person to lose as a nominee and then go on to win the presidency — or even to get his party’s nomination more than once – was Richard Nixon, who lost the election on a razor-thin margin in 1960 and then won triumphantly in 1968.

An aide hands the phone to Mitt Romney, who had stopped for lunch on the campaign trail in Grand Rapids, Mich., and says the governor of California is on the line. “First, I would like to just get to know you…,” the caller replies. “And to ask you a bunch of questions and I want to have them answered immediately.” In the Cranbrook scene, Romney shows his advisers the gymnasium where he attended school dances — and, just beyond the gym doors, where he said he proposed to Ann Davies. “She said yes,” Romney tells them. William Jennings Bryan was the Democratic nominee three times and never won; Adlai Stevenson got the Democratic nomination twice in the 1950s; Thomas Dewey was the unsuccessful Republican nominee in 1944 and 1948.

Many of the contributors and elected officials they are courting hope to stave off a collision between the two that could imperil the party’s chances in a general election. But all of these candidates share something Romney lacks: Their campaigns occurred before the advent of the current primary and caucus system for choosing a nominee. The narrator explains that George ended his presidential bid after telling a reporter he had been “brainwashed” during a trip to Vietnam during the war — a gaffe that ricocheted through the political world. The potential GOP candidates may be hamstrung by their intramural battle ahead; core Republican support likely will coalesce around the ultimate nominee.

He came up with a funny line about his time founding Bain Capital and shared it with his family: “I thought about asking my church’s pension fund to invest, but I didn’t. For the moment, those tested against Clinton in this survey win support from 76 to 81 percent of Republican registered voters and about six in 10 conservatives (including 67 to 73 percent of strong conservatives). Each also has the support of half of white voters overall, far fewer than a GOP nominee needs to prevail, given whites’ shrinking share of the country’s population. (Romney won 59 percent of whites and lost the 2012 election nonetheless.) In an example of the comparatively unsettled GOP base, Huckabee and Bush both hold more than 40-point leads over Clinton among evangelical white Protestants, but that eases to 27- and 32-point leads in this group for Christie and Romney, respectively.

The Republicans have regularly nominated the guy who effectively came in second in the previous race — this happened with Reagan, Bush, Dole, McCain and Romney. (Romney technically came in third in 2008, but that was due to his early, post-Super Tuesday exit once he saw victory was out of reach.) This suggests that past candidates are helped by running a strong race, yet knowing enough to drop out and rally around the party’s standard-bearer once the nomination appears lost. The toys were part of Aflac’s convention marketing; whenever the kids squeezed the ducks, they said, “Aflac,” as in the insurer’s television commercials. But there are few other differences, suggesting that partisanship, rather than individual candidate assessments, is playing the starring role in current choices. Early matchups such as these are not predictive; campaigns matter, as Clinton demonstrated in 2008, and an ultimate double-digit margin is virtually unthinkable given the country’s close political divisions.

Bush, who has worked in the finance industry in recent years, would be vulnerable to the attacks that so damaged his own campaign against President Obama. I didn’t expect it.” He said that when the crowd cheered him after saying, “President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans,” he tried not to laugh from the podium. “It’s hard to sleep after just performing like that because you get so much adrenaline and then it doesn’t dissipate very quickly,” Romney said, yawning.

The underpinnings of Clinton’s support in matchups with Republicans are consistent across almost all voting groups for each of the five potential rivals tested in the poll. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York, N.Y.

She wins more than 90 percent support from registered Democrats, whereas her Republican challengers win less than 80 percent among fellow Republicans. Clinton leads each opponent among political independents, a group that narrowly favored Romney over Obama in 2012 even as the Republican lost by four points overall. The Post-ABC poll was conducted Jan. 12-15 among a random national sample of 1,003 adults interviewed by telephone, including 311 cellphone-only respondents.

Peyton reports and conducts national and regional news polls for the Washington Post, with a focus on politics, elections and other social and economic issues.

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