Insiders: Trump independent bid would ruin GOP chances

11 Dec 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Fearful GOP bigs brainstorm Trump alternatives.

That’s according to a majority of Republicans in The POLITICO Caucus, our weekly bipartisan survey of the top strategists, activists and operatives in the four early-nominating states: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. Top Republican officials fear that the fight to win the party’s presidential nomination might end in a so-called “brokered convention” for the first time in 60 years.

WASHINGTON — All but two of the nine Republican members of Michigan’s congressional delegation told the Free Press by Thursday afternoon that they reject presidential candidate Donald Trump’s proposal that Muslims be barred from entering the U.S. in the wake of terrorist attacks in Paris and California. Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus held the meeting with establishment GOP honchos, such as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, The Washington Post reported. With Donald Trump leading an increasingly splintered field, it is possible that no single candidate will go into July’s party convention with a sufficient number of nominating delegates to become the presidential nominee. Donald Trump’s surprising staying power atop the polls as the first primary events draw nearer has made the possibility — once considered somewhere between remote and nonexistent — now conceivable enough to merit the worry of GOP brass. The real-estate developer and celebrity continues to hint at an independent bid — using the possibility as leverage against a party that is equal parts threatened and confounded at his ascendance. “Trump already dominates the headlines,” said a Nevada GOP insider. “A run as an independent would be the main news story for six months.

They listened to other GOP bigwigs talk about how, if the billionaire New York developer scored a large number of delegates in the primaries, they could mount a floor fight and get the party to back some other candidate, the report said. Assuming there was no outright winner after the first ballot at the July 18-21 convention in Cleveland, delegates would be free to vote for any candidate, leading to backroom negotiations and a so-called brokered outcome. The Republican nominee would be forced to constantly respond to the makeup of the race and miss any opportunity to deliver their message to the American people.” Others added that basic arithmetic — the relatively even political divisions in the country and an electoral map arguably tilted toward Democrats — makes it difficult for Republicans if even a remotely credible conservative independent candidate qualified in the key Electoral College states. This used to be a common feature of American politics but there has not been one in more than 60 years when Adlai Stevenson won the Democrat nomination at a brokered convention.

Now, however, it seems as though his latest proposal to bar all Muslims – American citizens or otherwise – is a step too far for high-ranking Republicans, as many were quick to condemn him. Priebus and McConnell said nothing during the meeting and did not signal support for any effort to oppose Trump, the 2016 GOP poll leader who has threatened to mount a third-party candidacy if he is not “treated fairly.” The opposition is growing so strong that Joe Lhota, the GOP’s 2013 candidate for New York City mayor, called on the Manhattan Republican Party to kick Trump out of the GOP. One Iowa insider called Trump, “Ross Perot on steroids.” “The current electoral path to the White House for the eventual Republican is so narrow that any third- or no-party candidate with the ability to peel away conservative and anti-Washington independent voters spells certain defeat for any Republican nominee,” another Iowa Republican said. “There is no question Trump fits those criteria. Aside from being an impractical, illegal proposal, Trump is sowing hatred towards a religious minority that is seeing a record number of hate crimes perpetrated against them. The size of the media markets in play in this period (including Atlanta, Boston, Dallas, Houston, Minneapolis, and Seattle) would seem to favor the best-funded contenders.

But it is worth asking how those within the Republican Party can really be condemning Trump, when he seems to be representing the very heart of its base. I’m starting to believe the Clintons are outsmarting us all!” Some Republicans cautioned that just because a Trump independent candidacy would doom the GOP doesn’t mean that it’s likely. Trump’s rise to the top of the 14-candidate field has confounded establishment Republicans who have been waiting in vain for the New York billionaire’s insurgent campaign to collapse. But while each of those contests has its own rules for distributing its spoils, they have this in common: Delegates will be awarded, in some fashion, proportionally. Various scenarios could play out in coming months with the battle evolving into a contest between two or three candidates, with none of them able to gain enough delegates.

Assuming four — or five or six or more — candidates can remain standing through this phase, they could well slice up the winnings sufficiently to deny an otherwise-favored frontrunner a clear path to a delegate majority. Mike Bishop, R-Rochester, who said it “isn’t just offensive, it’s devoid of what our Constitution stands for.” “Obviously, it is totally ridiculous, as are many of his statements,” said U.S. There is just no path to an Electoral College win for an independent candidate.” Both Republicans and Democrats are holding televised debates next week — Republicans on Tuesday in Las Vegas, and Democrats a week from Saturday in Goffstown, New Hampshire.

Candice Miller, R-Harrison Township, who has already endorsed one of Trump’s rivals, businesswoman Carly Fiorina, but whose comments still echoed sentiments suggested by other Republican leaders. “(U)sing a religious test is contrary to our country’s founding principles,” U.S. If you thought the other candidates vying for the GOP nomination must be moderates who are just being drowned out by the bombastic, orangutan-esque billionaire, you would be mistaken. Asked which candidate has the most to lose in their party’s forum, Republicans were splintered: 23 percent said Trump, with many of those predicting that he will face fire over his recent proposal to stop all Muslim immigration. “The front-runner always has the most to lose, particularly in this case after his remarks about Muslims and the reactions from the other candidates,” said another Nevada Republican. “Expect some fireworks on the stage on that subject.” Marco Rubio was an equally popular choice, with some Republicans suggesting the Florida senator’s strong performances thus far in the first four debates make maintaining that level difficult. Ted Cruz – Canada’s worst export, perhaps second only to chrysotile asbestos – has repeatedly refused to condemn Trump’s Muslim ban proposal, saying only that it is not his policy. Jeb Bush also has a lot riding on his performance, with one New Hampshire Republican calling it “do or die time,” and another who said, “He’s running out of time to excite voters.” Others suggested Texas Sen.

Ben Carson, who is running second to Trump in most polls, openly stated on television in September that Americans should not put a Muslim in charge of the country. With all the comparisons this week after Trump’s Muslim immigration proposal, we asked insiders from both parties to which historical figure they would compare the billionaire candidate? Bill Huizenga, R-Zeeland, also criticized Trump’s statement, saying, “We need to come together as a nation, not create some type of unconstitutional religious litmus test that will only further divide us.” The two GOP members of the state’s U.S. We witnessed the demise of the party’s principles as year after year of Republican campaigns placated an aging, predominantly white voting base with thinly veiled racism and xenophobia.

After years of alienating key voting blocs, such as women, Hispanics and African Americans, the GOP now risks turning off white voters who aren’t flagrant bigots. Bettencourt, Michael Biundo, Ray Buckley, Peter Burling, Jamie Burnett, Debby Butler, Dave Carney, Jackie Cilley, Catherine Corkery, Garth Corriveau, Fergus Cullen, Lou D’Allesandro, James Demers, Mike Dennehy, Sean Downey, Steve Duprey, JoAnn Fenton, Jennifer Frizzell, Martha Fuller Clark, Amanda Grady Sexton, Jack Heath, Gary Hirshberg, Jennifer Horn, Peter Kavanaugh, Joe Keefe, Rich Killion, Harrell Kirstein, Sylvia Larsen, Joel Maiola, Kate Malloy Corriveau, Maureen Manning, Steve Marchand, Tory Mazzola, Jim Merrill, Jayne Millerick, Claira Monier, Greg Moore, Matt Mowers, Terie Norelli, Chris Pappas, Liz Purdy, Tom Rath, Colin Reed, Jim Rubens, Andy Sanborn, Dante Scala, William Shaheen, Stefany Shaheen, Carol Shea-Porter, Terry Shumaker, Andy Smith, Craig Stevens, Kathy Sullivan, Chris Sununu, James Sununu, Jay Surdukowski, Donna Sytek, Kari Thurman, Colin Van Ostern, Deb Vanderbeek, Mike Vlacich, Ryan Williams South Carolina: Andrew Collins, Antjuan Seawright, Barry Wynn, Bob McAlister, Boyd Brown, Brady Quirk-Garvan, Bruce Haynes, Catherine Templeton, Chad Connelly, Chip Felkel, Cindy Costa, Clay Middleton, David Wilkins, Dick Harpootlian, Donna Hicks, Drea Byars, Ed McMullen, Elizabeth Colbert-Busch, Ellen Weaver, Erin McKee, Glenn McCall, Inez Tenenbaum, Isaiah Nelson, Jaime R.

Ragley, Jim Hodges, Jimmy Williams, Joe Erwin, Joel Sawyer, John Brisini, Kevin Bishop, Kim Wellman, Laurin Manning, Le Frye, Luke Byars, Matt Moore, Mikee Johnson, Morgan Allison, Nse’ Ekpo, Phil Noble, Scott Farmer, Tony Denny, Trey Walker, Tyler Jones, Walter Whetsell, Warren Tompkins, Will Folks Nevada: Adam Khan, Andres Ramirez, Andrew Diss, Barbara Buckley, Bob Cavazos, Brendan Summers, Chip Evans, Chuck Muth, Dan Hart, Daniel Stewart, Ed Williams, Emmy Ruiz, Erven T. Martin, James Smack, Jay Gertsema, Jeremy Hughes, Jim DeGraffenreid, Jon Ralston, Kristen Orthman, Laura Martin, Linda Cavazos, Lindsey Jydstrup, Mac Abrams, Mari St.

Martin, Marla Turner, Megan Jones, Michael McDonald, Michelle White, Mike Slanker, Neal Patel, Nick Phillips, Oscar Goodman, Pat Hickey, Paul Smith, Pete Ernaut, Peter Koltak, Riley Sutton, Robert Uithoven, Roberta Lange, Ryan Erwin, Ryan Hamilton, Sam Lieberman, Scott Scheid, Yvanna Cancela, Zach Hudson

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