Jeb Bush's argument that Democrats appeal to blacks with 'free stuff'? It's … | us news

Jeb Bush’s argument that Democrats appeal to blacks with ‘free stuff’? It’s …

28 Sep 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Jeb Bush adds $1 million to ad buy in Iowa.

Jeb Bush drew a contrast between the Republican and Democratic parties last week by saying that the GOP’s message “isn’t one of division and ‘Get in line and we’ll take care of you with free stuff.’ ” After some controversy, Bush tried to reframe his comments over the weekend. Jeb Bush’s campaign has reserved $1 million in advertising to begin ahead of the Iowa caucuses, adding to $6 million the Bush Super PAC has booked in the state. “We are reserving January and February TV now which is the most competitive buying environment to lock in rates, but more importantly to maximize inventory on key programs for our target audiences based our data,” Bush campaign spokeswoman Kristy Campbell told The Des Moines Register. “This is just a first pass for our long-term approach.” “Well, we’ll lay it out in the next three weeks, and it’s to move back to a consumer-driven system where you have low-premium catastrophic coverage where it’s portable, where people can have more than one choice, and where they are more empowered to make decisions themselves,” Mr.

Marco Rubio, the Republican presidential candidate who lately has the best buzz of anybody in the crowded field, this afternoon campaigns in “Florida’s Friendliest Hometown” — The Villages, 32 square miles in Lake, Marion, and Sumter Counties. The breakfast reception is closed to the public and the press, and a campaign spokeswoman did not immediately respond to a message seeking additional details.

Another GOP presidential candidate — Carly Fiorina — will be in Oklahoma City on Tuesday for a meeting with the Oklahoma Independent Petroleum Association. Today marks one of Rubio’s first presidential campaign stops outside of south Florida, and, being Florida, anything he says has to be viewed in the context of Rubio vs.

That was my whole point.” The idea that the left earns support from African Americans with giveaways, of course, is not unique to Bush — or to Mitt Romney, who said something similar in 2012. But there’s also the plain, political reality: in a year in which economic populism is striking a chord, the former governor is pushing a plan that disproportionately benefits the very wealthy.

After Romney’s comments, The Washington Post and its polling partner ABC News asked Americans why they thought black voters were more likely to support Democrats. The longtime political allies seemed destined for a political collision, particularly when Florida holds its presidential primary March 15 and only one candidate walks away with 99 delegates. “The time has come to turn the page. THOUGHT BUBBLE — Seems to me that Trump (beyond the nativist, immigration pandering) is now running on raising taxes on the rich and cutting them on the poor and middle class and providing government subsidized universal health care. He could just as easily have been talking about Jeb Bush, his old mentor, who has been struggling for traction for months amid the GOP’s stong anti-establishment mood. Second, the most common response for each party was “no opinion.”) Beyond “don’t know,” the most common response from Republicans was something about “free stuff.” No Democrats made that argument — although the party’s support for social programs, the second-most-common Republican response, was the sixth-most-common response from Democrats. (And it’s not hard to draw a rhetorical line from social programs to “free stuff.”) On Friday, we looked at the lack of evidence for this position, including that there’s no correlation between the use of government programs and electoral results. (And that other forms of government largess, such as tax breaks for corporations or Social Security, don’t prompt a similar party-loyalty response from people.) Part of this sentiment is likely a result of the fact (and the emphasis of the fact) that use of federal assistance increased under President Obama.

In this volatile political climate, Rubio, 44, could be perfectly positioned: A fresh face, still associated with his defeat of Charlie Crist in 2010, but also acceptable enough to the establishment wing of the party. “I was a reforming governor, not just another member of the club,” Bush said in his announcement speech in June. “There’s no passing off responsibility when you’re a governor, no blending into the legislative crowd or filing an amendment and calling that success. ” As Bush’s campaign team likes to point out, polls don’t mean much this far out from the voting. Food stamp and temporary assistance program enrollment spiked after he came into office — in large part because the economy had collapsed. (This led Newt Gingrich to call Obama the “food-stamp president” when Gingrich was running for president in 2012.) Layer on top of that conservative critique of the Affordable Care Act, which expanded Medicare for low-income Americans, and a focus on a long-standing program to offer reduced-price phones to low-income households. WALL STREET FREAKS ABOUT BOEHNER — POLITICO’s Ben White: “Wall Street is quietly freaking out over House Speaker John Boehner’s surprise decision to resign from his post at the end of next month. The latest polls of Republicans nationally, in Iowa and New Hampshire, show him ahead of Bush, and one Florida poll last week showed him ahead of Bush. The growing fear is that while Boehner will almost certainly avoid a government shutdown [this] week as his final act, chaos could easily return in December as another government funding fight will align with the need to raise the nation’s borrowing limit. “And it would happen just as the Federal Reserve is likely to begin raising interest rates and with a new speaker — likely House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy — under heavy pressure from the right not to cut any deals with President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats. ‘This risk of a shutdown and major debt ceiling fight in December has now dramatically increased,’ said Isaac Boltansky of Compass Point Research and Trading. ‘Boehner’s retirement should be a very concerning signal for markets.

Rubio, however, appears to be just starting to build an organization, and his campaign events tend to be at places with a crowd already organized rather than one the campaign mobilized. In other words, Bush is saying something that a lot of Republican and independent voters believe — something that they had on the tips of their tongues when pollsters called in 2012. The comparison between Bush’s last events in central Florida – a series of rallies and town hall meetings organized by the Bush team – and Rubio’s today – a rally at The Villages where even the dullest Republican can expect a big crowd – is indicative of their campaign infrastructures. If you look at what the middle class pays today compared to what they would pay in our tax plan – BUSH: Because higher income people pay more taxes right now and proportionally, everybody will get a benefit.

But under any circumstances, conservatives in the Freedom Caucus and the tea party movement are going to have an awful lot of juice.’” WEAK DATA THIS WEEK? — HFE’s Jim O’Sullivan: “We remain skeptical that global weakening will stop the downtrend in the U.S. unemployment rate. … Despite our big-picture view, we expect some of this week’s data to raise fears that growth is deteriorating. … The September employment report could suggest slowing … even if the 173K rise in payrolls reported for August is revised up a bit.

As with August, the September payrolls data have tended to be underreported initially and then revised up later. “Over the last five years, the initially reported September rise has been revised up by 49K, on average, over the following two months — not as large as the 77K average for August, but still sizable. Friday expected to show a gain of 196K and no change to 5.1% jobless rate … Tesla unveils its first SUV on Tuesday … Senate Finance has a hearing Tuesday on the Puerto Rico crisis … Bank of America must resubmit its capital plan to the Fed by Wednesday JEB BUSH: EARLY POLLS DON’T MATTER — POLITICO’s Kyle Cheney: “Former Florida Gov. It’s just … an obsession, because it kind of frames the debate for people for that week.’ SOME INVESTORS GET SPECIAL CEO ACCESS — WSJ’s Serena Ng and Anton Troainovski: “Procter & Gamble Co.

He’s welcome to defend that preference, of course, but to argue that he simply has no choice but to tilt the scales in the rich’s favor isn’t true. Lafley’s comments during a string of conversations with investors in New York gave a Wall Street analyst who was present the strong impression that he would step aside as CEO sooner than expected.

— FT’s Sam Fleming: “The ranks of immigrants and their children will grow to reach a record share of the US population in the second half of this century, projections show, with Asian immigration taking over as the biggest source of population growth. … The forecasts demonstrate the extent to which immigration will reshape the US population, even as politicians such as Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump use hostility towards foreigners to appeal to parts of the electorate. If you want to cut taxes for everyone without giving away the store to the top one percent, it’s easy – just slash the bottom rate.” In the same interview, Wallace brought up the trickle-down tax breaks embraced by Reagan and Jeb’s brother.

DONORS TO JEB: GET IT TOGETHER … SOON — WP: By Ed O’Keefe and Matea Gold: “Jeb Bush is entering a critical phase of his Republican presidential campaign, with top donors warning that the former Florida governor needs to demonstrate growth in the polls over the next month or face serious defections among supporters. The warnings, expressed by numerous senior GOP fundraisers in recent days, come as Bush and an allied super PAC are in the early stages of an aggressive television ad campaign they say will help erase doubts about his viability. At its core, Bush’s case for more tax cuts seems to effectively come down to, “This policy didn’t work for my brother, but it’ll totally work for me.” If the Florida Republican wants the public to buy the argument, he’s going to need to work harder on his pitch. While Republicans and Democrats alike have pledged to reform excessive regulatory burdens on Main Street institutions to improve local economies, partisan bickering threatens to thwart enacting needed regulatory relief anytime soon.” NOW AVAILABLE: POLITICO PRO EUROPE BRIEF – Today POLITICO Pro, POLITICO’s premium subscription service, launches a twice daily newsletter dedicated to making sense of European policy and politics through an American lens.

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