New Iowa poll: Ted Cruz overtakes Donald Trump

7 Dec 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Cruz gains first lead in Iowa poll.

Ted Cruz of Texas has surpassed celebrity businessman Donald Trump as the top pick for the party nomination among Iowa Republicans, a new poll shows, a result of his consolidation of support among the state’s influential evangelical Christian voters. The Monmouth University Poll of likely Iowa Republican caucus goers released Monday found that 24% supported Cruz, followed by 19% backing Trump, 17% in the camp of Florida Sen. Jeb Bush receives just six percent support in the new survey, with Rand Paul (four percent), Carly Fiorina (three percent) and John Kasich (three percent) behind. Thirty percent of evangelical voters back the Texas senator, versus 18 percent who back Trump, 16 percent who back Rubio and 15 percent who back Carson.

Monmouth’s Iowa poll two months ago showed Carson on top, but his support has since dropped by 19 percentage points as voters began to express doubts about his mastery of foreign policy and national security issues amid heightened concern over terrorism. On Saturday, five GOP candidates addressed the Rising Tide Summit in Cedar Rapids, one of the last multicandidate events in Iowa before voting begins. Cruz’s support has jumped by 14 percentage points, and Rubio gained 7 points in Iowa vote share. “This marks the first time Ted Cruz has held a lead in any of the crucial early states. As Ben Carson’s stock has fallen, Cruz has been able to corral most of those voters,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, N.J. Carson has struggled on foreign-policy questions in recent campaign forums, while Cruz has secured endorsements from a roster of conservatives including influential Rep.

In October’s poll, Carson held the advantage with this group – garnering 36 percent support to 18 percent for Trump, 12 percent for Cruz and 9 percent for Rubio. The Monmouth poll was conducted from December 3-6 with 425 likely Republican caucusgoers and carries a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.8 percentage points.

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