New venue for Iowa Straw Poll

12 Mar 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Iowa GOP moves 2015 straw poll to Boone.

After decades outside Hilton Coliseum on the campus of Iowa State University in Ames, the Republican Party of Iowa announced on Thursday that the straw poll was being moved 20 minutes down the highway to the town of Boone.Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that won’t necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers: * The Ames Straw Poll will happen this year, but for the first time, it won’t be in Ames. The high-profile Republican cattle call has been a staple in presidential politics for decades, giving candidates eager to prove their electability in the key early-voting state.

Held in a carnival atmosphere with candidates setting up tents and plying GOP activists with food, drink and musical performances, the event has long been a favorite of journalists and political junkies alike. Less clear are which GOP candidates will choose to compete in the contest. * Speaking of Iowa, a senior adviser on Jeb Bush’s team is already managing expectations. “If we lose Iowa, we’re fine,” the unnamed staffers said yesterday. “If [Scott Walker] loses Iowa, he’s done.” * And speaking of Jeb Bush, as the former governor continues to more closer to his presidential campaign, he’s ending his private-sector dealings. This week, the shift includes “selling ownership stakes in Jeb Bush & Associates … and in Britton Hill Partnership, a business advisory group that in 2013 set up private-equity funds investing in energy and aviation.” * Kentucky is one of three states hold gubernatorial elections this year, and according to SurveyUSA, state Attorney General Jack Conway (D) is the early favorite. But the future of the Iowa Straw Poll has remained uncertain in recent years, as party leaders (in Iowa and around the country) have dismissed the predictive usefulness of the event and charging that it marginalizes certain types of candidates.

In hypothetical general election match-ups, Conway leads each of his likely Republican challengers by margins ranging from 2 to 19 points. * In Wisconsin, the latest PPP survey shows former Sen. Candidates bus in supporters and pay their entrance fees, assuring that the winner is often the best-organized and best-funded, not the most popular with an honest sample of likely caucus-goers.

Ron Johnson (R), with the Democrat leading, 50% to 41%. * As if the race for the Democratic nomination in the Maryland Senate race weren’t competitive enough already, Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) is reportedly “on the verge” of kicking off his own campaign. * Over the last nine years, Florida’s Charlie Crist has run for governor twice and the U.S. Marco Rubio (R) likely to give up his seat, Crist is considering another statewide race in 2016. * And Texas won’t hold its presidential primary until next March, but Rand Paul is already opening his first field office in the Lone Star State this week.

He finished third, below expectations, and dropped out shortly thereafter, much to the dismay of many in the national GOP who saw him as the most credible alternative to eventual 2012 candidate Mitt Romney. Enos said that while Huckabee’s candidacy didn’t take off until a September event in Storm Lake, Brownback dropping out gave the Arkansas Republican’s campaign the necessary room to take off by removing a social conservative competitor. The Iowa Republican blog pointed out that there is plenty of parking, but no air-conditioned arena for candidate speeches or to cool off on a blistering day.

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