Poll finds a new top tier for New Hampshire GOP primary

25 Sep 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Donald Trump’s slide in the polls is beginning to look real.

Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina are grouped together as “The Longshot Frontrunners” in the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics latest breakdown of the 2016 GOP presidential field. “This remarkable nomination battle has been shaped by these three outsiders,” the authors wrote in their analysis. “While we think that they are unlikely to end up on the November 2016 ballot, each one has influenced what the eventual standard-bearer will do and say — for better or worse.” Meanwhile, former Gov. Bloomberg, recognizing the value in asking attention-grabbing questions in its polls, included a question in its new national survey focused on the question of America’s greatness.

That unease — and its origins — are explained brilliantly in this paragraph, taken from a broader piece entitled “The GOP is Killing Itself,” by former Bush administration official Pete Wehner: The message being sent to voters is this: The Republican Party is led by people who are profoundly uncomfortable with the changing (and inevitable) demographic nature of our nation. Three fresh surveys on the GOP race – Fox News, Bloomberg and Quinnipiac University – give us the first reliable snapshot after the second candidate debate. Donald Trump, the figures show, remains in first place in the race for the nomination, actually increasing his share of support from 25 percent in the middle of August to 26 percent now. It is a party that is characterized by resentments and grievances, by distress and dismay, by the belief that America is irredeemably corrupt and past the point of no return. “The American dream is dead,” in the emphatic words of Mr.

Marco Rubio’s grandfather seems to have been cheering the little fellow up when he told Marco that, in America, “even I, the son of a bartender and a maid, could aspire to have anything, and be anything,” including president! Wehner, whose honesty and insight about his party and its prospects I’ve praised before in this space, nails a sentiment I’ve heard expressed by countless Republicans in the Summer of Trump. At least since the late-1960s when the SATs, rather than geography or social class, began to determine college admissions, it seems very unlikely that a community college student could be elected president. Carson, the authors said the retired neurosurgeon’s lack of political experience and first-hand knowledge on the issues will inevitably get him into trouble — pointing to the recent dust-up over comments about a Muslim becoming president.

Sure, appealing to white voters with a message that things aren’t as good as they used to be — the boiled-down appeal that Trump represents — might work in a Republican primary. But, there is NO mystery or debate that the changing demographic face of the country makes an appeal to the “old ways” an almost-certain electoral loser. And, even as the white vote has become increasingly less influential in presidential general elections, Republicans have grown increasingly unable to compete for the Hispanic vote, which is growing by leaps and bounds. In fact, Trump is just the same as he has been since he rode a wave of outrage over his comments about illegal immigrant rapists and murders to the top of the field in July.

But maybe ease up on holding yourself out as a great intellectual appalled by the dirty masses if you went to a third-rate college in the era of need-blind admissions. You can see that the most recent results are fairly well-clustered, as you’d expect them to be, and that, for the most part, the change since each pollster’s previous poll is generally in the same direction. The variance is largely due to margins of error and the different times at which the earlier polls were conducted — longstanding and important caveats for any poll. This was during the Reagan administration, which Trump offered as the period “[y]ou felt really proud” when NBC’s Chuck Todd asked him the last time America was great.

Trump’s adamant refusal to answer the lingering question before his campaign – whether he is still a birther and whether he believes President Obama is a secret Muslim – reflects a play-it-safe strategy that will not wear well. The problem is that people like Trump not only have a much bigger megaphone but also a vested interest in pushing policies that appeal to a niche — albeit a somewhat large niche — of the Republican base. With Bush out of the hunt for now and the field thinning, Trump has to face the reality that his real rivals now are Carson, Rubio and Fiorina and despite his attacks, they’re still rising. After CNN released its poll last weekend— the one showing the big drop— he went on Twitter to complain about how he wanted the media to look at more favorable polling — often with shakier or less-proven methodologies. (His supporters, in my experience, do the same thing.) There’s a lot of variability in this race, as the graphs above clearly show.

But he is putting his party in a losing position — or taking them to the verge of it — when it comes to a general election in which we know a message like his will (or already has) turned off large numbers of people that the GOP desperately needs to build a national coalition. With the most voters again judging him the worst in the debate, he can’t just keep treading water month after month and hiding from the tough questions. Rubio sweeps up Walker donors – Fox News: “…There has been fresh buzz about [Marco Rubio’s] campaign since what many analysts saw as a stand-out performance at the Sept. 16 debate at the Reagan Library…and he seems to be benefiting the most from Wisconsin Gov.

Or maybe you want to heed the words of a dewy-eyed optimist, caught up in the moment during an interview with Fox News’s Greta van Susteren shortly after Barack Obama’s inauguration. “We have the greatest country in the world,” he declared. The irony of the week is that the poll that Trump would probably most like to cite is the one from Fox News — the outlet that he declared war on earlier this week. The Wall Street Journal reported that Rubio will inherit about two-thirds of Walker’s big-donor fundraising apparatus, citing a member of Walker’s national finance committee.” Trump business imports lots of labor – CBS4 News: “A CBS4 News review of U.S.

Labor Department records found that Trump businesses have requested hundreds of visas in recent years claiming they were unable to find Americans willing to do even the most basic tasks. Every year since at least 2008, Mar-A-Lago has requested anywhere from 70 to 90 visas to bring foreign workers into the country as cooks, waiters and housekeepers. Ironically, it’s the Ivy League billionaire living a glamorous New York City life who has rocked the political world by speaking for ordinary Americans and insulting the powerful.

The starting pay is between $10 and $12 an hour.” Trump and Ailes speak, plan meeting – Trump and Fox News CEO Roger Ailes have spoken and will meet to work out their differences, according to a spokesperson for the network. “Fox News Chairman & CEO Roger Ailes and Donald Trump spoke this morning and plan to have a meeting next week to discuss their differences of opinion regarding Fox’s coverage of Mr. When someone like Trump comes along and is actually serious about winning the very causes the GOP purportedly seeks to advance, he is seen as a disruptive force. We believe a candid meeting about our differences is required and that any misunderstandings can be handled without compromising those standards.” Most have heard the joke that punctuation saves lives, but not many have heard that font style can sink your business.

We’re just going to do this because we think we’re right, and at a certain point it will be impossible to reverse, because Republicans will never be able to win another national election. Until Trump started talking about immigration, most Americans had no idea that immigrants take more government assistance than natives, that we are allowing nearly half a million anchor babies a year to force their way into citizenship and a lifetime of welfare, and that we’re bringing in rapists, murderers and terrorists. Take, for example, the word kerning: ironically, if kerned badly (where two letters are seemingly fused together to create a new letter) you end up with the word keming as r and n become m.” Amid another cascade of bad news for Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton, there’s more good news for Vice President Joe Biden’s potential candidacy.

Biden stayed in touch…And that’s the reason Heddens will wait until Biden makes a decision on whether he’ll run before she makes a decision about who she’ll support. Biden writes, “He emphasizes what I have always believed to be the central mission of our faith—Catholic Social Doctrine—that cuts across all confessional faiths: What you do to the least among us, you do unto me…” The Judge’s Ruling: It’s not all relative – Fox News Senior Judicial Analyst Judge Andrew Napolitano considers Pope Francis’ message and the dangers of moral relativism: “When he is in St. He will embrace the highly questionable green science of those who want the government to tell us how to live, outside our homes and inside — more Thomas Piketty than St.

In the latest episode of “Power Play with Chris Stirewalt” Real Clear Politics co-founder Tom Bevan shares his picks of the five most hotly contested GOP held seats in the battle for control of the Senate. While Bevan has Illinois and Wisconsin at 1 and 2, he says Florida’s sure-to-be close White House vote adds an increased level of competition for Marco Rubio’s seat, putting this race in spot three. Fox News: “Matthew McConaughey’s older brother Michael, who goes by ‘Rooster,’ may be a self-made millionaire, and a star in his own right with the hit new reality series ‘West Texas Investors Club’ – but he still loves some free merch.

Rooster McConaughey loves beer so much that he named his own son Miller Lyte, reports TMZ. … Little Miller is nine now but Miller’s parent company SABMiller, only recently caught wind of the branded moniker. To reward McConaughey’s brand loyalty, SABmiller—which may soon merge with its biggest competitor and fellow beer giant Anheuser-Busch InBev—is sending Rooster 24 cases of Miller Lite, what the beer maker considers to be a year’s supply. At 24 cans per case, that’s 576 beers total—or 1 and a half beers a day… so it might not last the diehard Miller fan more than a few months but hey, free beer is free beer.” Chris Stirewalt joined Fox News Channel (FNC) in July of 2010 and serves as digital politics editor based in Washington, D.C.

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