Poll: GOP three times as angry at government

23 Nov 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

A Republican Thanksgiving.

“If there’s a rabid dog running around your neighborhood, you’re probably not going to assume something good about that dog, and you’re probably going to put your children out of the way. . . .They are all women and children fleeing wartime horror: So goes the Democratic narrative about Syrian refugees that has become a handy political vehicle, presented in emotionally charged terms.That quote from Alice Roosevelt Longworth — the only daughter of 26th president Theodore Roosevelt — seems to sum up many American’s feelings about 2016 presidential candidate Donald Trump.

Each party has one more — the GOP Dec. 15 in Las Vegas and the Democrats Dec. 19 in Manchester, N.H. — before the 2016 primary season will be in full swing. The presidential candidates from both parties were giving their piece of mind on the situation of US middle class, income inequality, and failure of US economy to generate jobs and about the future of so-called American dream.

Republicans scored a big upset in the Kentucky governor’s race and held the state Senate in Virginia by one seat, but Democrats took control of Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court. A Fox News national poll released Sunday also finds Democrats and Republicans united against President Obama’s plan to accept Syrian refugees — as most voters think at least one will be a terrorist who will launch a successful attack here. While some contend debates are a critical part of the vetting process for the nation’s highest office, others say debates are little more than a highly orchestrated waste of everyone’s time because our system ensures that most presidential elections are decided before candidates face off on a lighted stage. Hopefully they can come and take this dog away and create a safe environment once again.” $100,000 The cost of a ticket for a couple to attend a rock concert hosted by Sting next month benefiting Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. 54% Americans who say in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll the United States should not take refugees from Syria and other parts of the Middle East, even if they are screened for security. Ballot measures throughout the nation were equally mixed as a pro-LGBT initiative failed in Houston, a clean elections referendum passed in Maine, and a flawed marijuana regulatory regime was handily rejected in Ohio.

The poll asks about Democratic presidential candidates rejecting terms like radical Islam and Islamic terrorists to describe those who committed the Paris attacks. Yet he’s the one that most folks want to kick back and have a drink with, according to the results of an NBC News State of Kindness poll conducted online by SurveyMonkey among 2,650 adults ages 18 and over.

Americans are fearful of another terrorist attack after what happened in Paris, and they’re largely distrustful of President Obama’s ability to prevent one. Unlike European politicians, Americans, and specifically Republican politicians are using the tragedy in Paris to play up the fears of the American public. Republicans turned the election into a referendum on terrorism. “We are not yet safe,” Vice President Dick Cheney declared. “Threats are still out there. In this moment, it is particularly important that we not allow ourselves to be divided by the anti-immigrant hysteria that Republican presidential candidates are ginning up,” advises the petition, which supports the resettlement of 10,000 Syrian refugees in the U.S. “If the day comes when America says ‘close the gates, build the wall,’ then I say take down the Statue of Liberty, because we’ve gone to a different place,” New York Gov.

Trump’s inflammatory rhetoric (think “Look at that face!” regarding his Republican rival Carly Fiona) is most likely the big reason why nearly half of Republican and independent voters said he seems the least kind candidate, with 62% of Democratic voters agreeing. The terrorists are still plotting and planning, trying to find ways to attack the United States.” Democrats accused Republicans of exploiting fear. “A true leader inspires hope and vanquishes fear,” Senator Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.) said. “This administration does neither. Just 45 percent of Democrats said in that same poll they have only a “fair” or “no” amount of faith in their government to prevent terror attacks at home. Vox’s Matt Yglesias called the loss in Virginia a “disaster.” Molly Ball at the Atlantic declared that Democrats’ efforts on social issues have doomed their electoral chances. But despite that unkind persona, Democrats, Independents and Republicans consider him the best Republican drinking buddy, favored by 24% of Republicans over close rival Ben Carson, who got 19% of the vote.

Instead, it brings fear.” Last week, President Barack Obama charged that Republicans “have been playing on fear in order to try to score political points or to advance their campaigns.” But the fear is real. Jeb Bush, once a rising star, now not so much, has taken a step further and asked Americans to understand the fact that attacks like Paris are an attempt to simply destroy the western civilization. One viral tweet stated that, “Under President Obama, Democrats have lost 900+ state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 House seats, 13 Senate seats. At the same time, voters continue to oppose sending a “significant” number of U.S. ground troops to fight the extremists (42 percent favor vs. 51 percent oppose). That’s some legacy.” While not exactly false, it ignores the nationwide wave of Obama’s 2008 campaign, which gave Democrats historic margins in Congress.

Debate viewers get to know each candidate a little better, in the way we will know them if they should become president — as a TV personality, for lack of a better term. While 26 percent think the actions of the Obama administration have been “about right” in trying to stop ISIS, most — 65 percent — say Obama hasn’t been aggressive enough. The fact is, like so many Americans, I rely on the debates to form my opinion about candidates — both in the policies and positions they take and who they are as people. A new Rasmussen Reports poll has similar findings: 77 percent of voters say the Syrian resettlement is a “national security risk,” 63 percent oppose President Obama’s plans for this, and 60 percent are against resettling the refugees in their own state.

While rhetoric makes for good media, it’s clear that potential voters — Republican, Democratic and Independent — want their candidates to be respectful to rivals. And especially when we are talking about primaries, where the candidates have similar political philosophies and policy agendas, as I assess the candidates I’m not solely interested in their policy prescriptions. Furthermore, any alternative scenario where Barack Obama played it safe and didn’t try to reform our healthcare system or otherwise enact his progressive agenda would have likely been deemed a failure by Democratic standards, regardless of electoral outcomes. By an overwhelming majority, people believe that “respect in politics” is either “very” or “somewhat important.” However, that show of respect is more important to women, with 70% of potential female voters believing that showing respect was very important to their vote. The candidates say they’re doing their due diligence to keep Americans safe from a new terror threat that has risen from the ashes in war-torn Syria.

A Reuters / Ipsos poll conducted over the weekend after the Paris attack found out that 63 percent of Americans believe that similar attacks might take place in the USA. Put another way, Democrats under Barack Obama have long faced a choice: either govern modestly and enjoy electoral success, or push the boundaries of progress and suffer the blowback. Slightly less than half of men agreed. “Kindness, really expressed as empathy, is a way to relate to people,” says Lupia, who points to former president George W. French President Francois Hollande promised, “France will be merciless against the barbarians of death.” He said his country would fight “without a respite, without a truce… It is not a question of containing but of destroying” Islamic State.

You can bet Democrats are writing down the comments Republican candidates made last week about Muslims and refugees to bring up in the general election next year. To see what the world may have looked like had Obama chosen the more moderate path, just examine the previous Democrat in the Oval Office: Bill Clinton.

More numbers in the Poll du Jour at column’s end. “This is a civilizational struggle between the values of freedom and liberty and radical Islamic terror. In his first two years, President Clinton chose the progressive route, leading a Democratic Congress in raising taxes on the wealthy, passing family medical leave, better regulating gun purchases, banning assault weapons, creating AmeriCorps, and addressing domestic violence through the Violence Against Women Act. But more than 60% of Republicans and 55% of independent voters don’t think that any of the Democratic candidates were the kindest, similarly to a majority of Democrats and independents who don’t view any Republican candidates as kindest. The Democratic nominee will have to run on Obama’s record. “Hillary Clinton can’t walk away from President Obama’s failing ISIS strategy because she helped craft it and even praised it,” a spokesman for the Republican National Committee said.

There’s a substantial gap before foreign policy (7 percent), health care (7 percent), immigration (7 percent) and the deficit (5 percent) are mentioned. Remember that these early feelings about candidates are, well, early, says Morris Fiorina, Professor of Political Science at Stanford University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution (and no relation to candidate Carly Fiorina). “But we’re early in this election cycle, very early, and at the end of it Americans are not electing a drinking buddy, they are electing a president, someone they believe will do a good job.” Former President Bill Clinton had warned his fellow Democrats, “Strong and wrong beats weak and right.” Nevertheless, there are reasons why it may be different in 2016. According to multiple polls over the last weekend, Trump has once again become the frontrunner with 28 percent support among GOP voters and most importantly among independent voters, while the establishment candidates Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio were able to attract the support of 18 percent and 11 percent of likely voters, respectively. President Clinton oversaw a tremendous economic boom and managed foreign policy so deftly that in 1998—even in the midst of being impeached—the Democrats actually gained seats in the House, a historical rarity for midterm elections.

In such a scenario, there are hints that the GOP elite might ask Mitt Romney to run for president again, despite his earlier insistence on staying away from the field. Ronald Reagan was as popular as they come, but he lost big time in the 1982 midterms as voters soured on his budget cuts and perceived poor handling of the economy. That’s just a fancy way of saying that voters form opinions about complicated issues — like who to support for president — in part based on cues from trusted political actors, media, or just more engaged friends and family.

When presidents aren’t on the ballot themselves, it’s much easier for the opposition to motivate their voters to turn out relative to that president’s supporters. But within Republican Party it will undoubtedly contribute to put forward a case of experience against the outsiders like Trump who lack any experience at all. It is meant to detect a terrorists’s bomb vest from up to 100 meters away. “SSBDS wasn’t intended for use in a civilian setting or a Western city but to protect troops on forward operating bases.

In the end, debates are an opportunity to engage voters, to reframe the issues and to shape voters’ views on both policy ideas and political actors. But the need for systems like it has evolved tremendously — and rapidly,” writes Patrick Tucker, technology editor for Defense One, who saw a recent demonstration of the device. ISLAMABAD: According to unofficial results announced by the Election Commission, Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N), candidate Malik Itehbar Khan won from NA-58 (Attock-II) with 84,722 votes, while Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) candidate Malik Suhail Khan, was runner up with 73,935. They provide us with an important window into the strengths and weaknesses of our prospective political leaders, so viewers and candidates are wise to take them seriously. While a plurality of Democrats thinks closing Gitmo is the right thing to do (48 percent), a slim majority opposes Obama going around Congress to do it (53 percent).

Most say they would not be willing to have Gitmo detainees moved to a prison in their state (68 percent), however, nearly 3 in 10 say they would be (28 percent). The Fox News poll is based on live telephone interviews (landline and cellphone) with 1,016 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from Nov. 16-19, 2015. Senator Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., seemed to hint at this alternative when he said in a 2014 speech: “After passing the stimulus, Democrats should have continued to propose middle class-oriented programs and built on the partial success of the stimulus.

We took their mandate and put all of our focus on the wrong problem–health care reform.” Feel free to disagree, but Schumer is simply articulating the nature of the tradeoff Democrats made in 2010. It’s the most interesting time in politics for hearing about real differences involving foreign policy, economic policies and more narrow concerns that often are ignored in general elections. If you believe that elections need to be won to maintain majorities and hold important offices, then the Barack Obama era could easily be labeled a failure.

Under our antiquated voting rules, Americans’ diversity of political thought gets channeled into two “viable” choices: Republicans and Democrats. And like every other time in modern history that Democratic presidents have flexed their activist muscles, it has mobilized opposition voters much more than the president’s supporters. Candidates’ character and issue positions are secondary to whether they’re on “team blue” or “team red.” Take presidential elections, where we vote in 51 state boxes, counting the District of Columbia. Luckily for progressives, President Obama and his team recognize that because regulation, legislation and international deals are so difficult to unwind, the effects of these accomplishments will likely be felt for generations.

No matter how much money is spent and how well a candidate debates, we already can project winners in the 35 states that have been absolutely ignored for three straight elections due to predictability. You can disagree with that strategy all you want, but when faced with the choice, I imagine most Democrats would cut the same deal as President Obama did. After studying all presidential election polls between 1952 and 2008, political scientists Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezien concluded “the best prediction from the debates is the initial verdict before the debates.” Most congressional elections are also locked down. There are real benefits to holding power, if only to stop the other side from enacting their agenda, but most voters want beneficial changes to be made in society.

Last year, FairVote’s Monopoly Politics projected final winners in nearly 9 in 10 House races in 2016 using a methodology that missed only one of its last 700 projections. After all, you don’t see many candidates of either party running for office saying, “Let’s keep America the same way it is today!” Electoral victories come and go, but what you do with them echoes in eternity.

It’s been enacted in nearly a dozen states and can be in place by 2020, allowing every American to experience a close presidential election as one where their vote matters. Modeled in a dozen cities, ranked choice voting allows third parties and independents to contest elections without being “spoilers.” Maine voters will have the chance to enact it next year for Congress and state elections.

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