Polls: Donald Trump stays in front

22 Nov 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

Carson Would Support Monitoring Of ‘Anti-American’ Groups.

GOP front-runner Donald Trump widens his lead in the nomination race, while Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz threaten to overtake Ben Carson for the number two spot.

WASHINGTON — In the wake of the Paris attacks, terrorism has become the top issue among Republican voters in New Hampshire, and Donald Trump has maintained a 2 to 1 lead over a crowded field of competitors.For the fourth consecutive month, businessman Donald Trump leads the contest for the Republican presidential nomination, with his candidacy fueled by a powerful anti-Washington mood among GOP voters, according to a new national poll by The Washington Post and ABC News.For Republicans fearful of Donald Trump becoming their party’s presidential nominee, a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters offers a three-word solution: Willard Mitt Romney.COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson says he would support government monitoring of any group deemed radical and “anti-American.” Carson made his comments Saturday when asked about rival Donald Trump’s suggestion that he’d monitor American Muslims as part of the government’s counterterrorism effort against Islamic State militants.

In addition, Rubio joins Carson as the only candidates at least half of voters say are honest and trustworthy — though Carson’s honesty rating has taken a hit. If the former Massachusetts governor were added to the mix of the 14 other Republican candidates running in the Feb. 9 first-in-the-nation presidential primary, New Hampshire voters would, if the election were held now, give him a 2-to-1 win over Trump, the leader of the field. Romney, who said as recently as last week that he is not interested in running, did not file for the New Hampshire primary ballot by the deadline last Friday.

At least so far, Granite State voters haven’t reconsidered their support of the brash billionaire in favor of more establishment contenders, as some had suggested they might. Indeed, 35% of GOP voters chose Trump as the Republican best equipped to handle the American response to ISIS, giving him a nearly 3 to 1 edge over his closest rival on the issue, Florida Sen.

The poll of 500 New Hampshire Republicans and independent voters who said they intend to vote in the Republican primary was taken last Tuesday through Thursday and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. About a quarter of white evangelical Christians back Trump (25 percent) and Carson (24 percent), while Cruz gets 18 percent and Rubio receives 11 percent. On Friday, CNN released criteria stipulating that a candidate must have a polling average of at least 3.5 percent nationally or 4 percent in Iowa or New Hampshire.

But they are playing a more important role in this campaign than in some in the past, because they are being used by news organizations that are sponsoring debates as one important criterion for determining who qualifies for prime-time participation. In this New Hampshire poll, eight candidates would quality for the main stage, but Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, who registered at 3 percent, would be dropped for the first time.

In Iowa and New Hampshire, where the voting will begin in February, polls show Trump and Carson leading, but they also indicate possible movement as the first contests near. If Romney were in the field — having missed the filing deadline he could now participate only as a write-in candidate — roughly one in three voters would abandon their current choice to follow him.

Still, that’s a net positive of 19 points, which gives him the second highest honesty score (the total percentage points of those saying you’re honest minus those saying you’re not) of the candidates included in the poll. Today he prefers Trump, but he would back Romney instead, given the opportunity, “because when it comes to talking with leaders in other countries, Romney is probably a better person to do that.” The poll also found that New Hampshire GOP voters’ priorities have changed in the aftermath of the Nov. 13 terrorist attacks in Paris. Eighty-two percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents say they are following the election closely, up eight percentage points from this time in 2011 and 16 points higher than in 2007. The Fox News poll is based on landline and cellphone interviews with 1,016 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from November 16-19, 2015.

Sarah Hilman, a 68-year-old retired day care worker in Wakefield, N.H., said she liked that Carson “doesn’t panic” under the intense media scrutiny. “He seems like he is very cool-headed, and he has been on the hot seat lately,” Hilman said. But Hilman said that if Romney suddenly got into the race, she would have to give him another look. “I am on the fence on that one,” Hilman said. “He was a very successful businessman.

That Cruz “stands up for the Constitution” is the reason that Chuck Martin, a 44-year-old engineer from Merrimack, N.H., is supporting him. “The country is in crisis,” Martin said. The former secretary of state has the support of 60 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, compared with 34 percent for Sanders. He believes Cruz is the most likely to follow the Constitution because he has proven he will “not compromise on principles” and has argued in front of the US Supreme Court. Her standing has been strengthened by broad likability within the party, with a separate Post-ABC poll earlier this month finding 83 percent of Democrats with a favorable impression of her. The contrasting results about the value of experience vs. the desire to change Washington pinpoints the reasons Bush has been frustrated in his bid to join his father, George H.W.

The former two-term governor earns the highest marks of any candidate on the question of who has the best experience to be president, with a third of Republicans naming him. He has a nine-point edge among those who call themselves “somewhat conservative.” He and Carson are tied among “very conservative Republicans,” with Cruz third among these voters.

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