What’s with all the Snyder White House talk?

30 Apr 2015 | Author: | No comments yet »

As gun advocates rally outside Michigan Capitol, lawmakers debate guns inside schools.

Gov. It’s not clear the governor — who says the speculation brings positive attention to Michigan — is nearly as serious about running for president as he is about raising the state’s profile, or his own.The Senate gave final approval to legislation Wednesday repealing restrictions against children under age 18 from using a BB gun without being accompanied by an adult.LANSING, MI — Gun owners and advocates rallied outside the Michigan Capitol on Wednesday, openly carrying firearms and celebrating their 2nd Amendment rights. Rick Snyder legislation that would relax the state’s restrictions on air guns by repealing an age limit and no longer regulating them like firearms.

A handful of Republican Senators — including Majority Leader Arlan Meekhof, Mike Green, Rick Jones and Dave Hildenbrand — addressed the enthusiasts before taking up gun-related bills on the floor of the upper chamber. “It is a great responsibility to carry a firearm, to own a firearm. While the obstacles to a relatively late-starting bid are considerable, the governor and his staff are sticking to a “haven’t ruled it out” line for now. Rick Snyder smiles during an interview before signing legislation to provide state funding for Detroit municipal pensions as part of the city’s bankruptcy process during a ceremony at the refurbished Globe Building in Detroit, Friday, June 20, 2014.(Photo: AP) LANSING, Mich. He made the remarks while pro-gun activists rallied down the street outside the state Capitol. “What we’d like to see as a compromise is to allow concealed carry in schools. The approval – timed to coincide with a pro-Second Amendment rally at the Capitol – came four months after Snyder vetoed the same measures because he received only part of a package of bills.

It says Michigan is one of just four states to classify most pellet and air guns as firearms, which the gun rights group says is an “unduly burdensome restraint.” Supporters say Michigan law should be aligned with the federal definition, while opponents worry about unintended consequences such as more shootings by police who mistake toy guns for real ones — citing a police shooting last year of a 12-year-old boy carrying a pellet gun in Cleveland. That will help alleviate the problem of any disruptions caused from carry,” said rally organizer Brady Schickinger, who directs the Michigan Coalition for Responsible Gun Owners. “I would imagine there’ll probably be ongoing discussion,” Snyder said. “Open carry in Michigan schools is not a good thing. But I also really, really want you to focus on the responsibility side, because we need to figure out how folks that don’t understand our position, how we can get them to understand our position.” Later Wednesday morning, the Senate approved a series of bills that would modify the definition of firearms to exclude BB guns and Airsoft guns, a change that could make them easier to purchase.

Trevino, Detroit Free Press)Buy Photo LANSING — Talk of a Rick Snyder for president campaign has surfaced sporadically among pundits for the last two years. The bills passed by wide margins but sparked a debate over recent open-carry controversies, including an incident in Ann Arbor, where parents and staff were taken aback when an owner carried a firearm into a choir concert at a public school. The gun-rights group said recently that air guns should not be subjected to the “same onerous regulations for their purchase, possession and transfer.” One, approved 30-7 by the Senate, would with some exceptions prohibit local governments from regulating air guns since they already cannot regulate firearms.

Michigan law prohibits concealed pistol permit holders from carrying concealed weapons in schools, but the law does not prevent owners from openly carrying a gun on their hips. “This has created a a quandary for school administrators, public safety advocates and police,” said Sen. A spokesman told the Detroit Free Press on Saturday the governor “has not made any decisions about entering the field at this time.” And Snyder told Bloomberg News in California on Monday

The two newly re-elected Midwestern governors are cut from a very different cloth than the first three GOP candidates to officially enter the 2016 race — Ted Cruz of Texas, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida — all senators who have come from the party’s conservative wing and have tea-party roots. Steve Bieda, a Warren Democrat who cited instances of police shooting kids thinking their toy guns were real ones. “The safety of children in this state is paramount.” The legislation would let counties, cities, townships and villages require children under 16 with air guns to be supervised by a parent or adult except on private property. Kasich has drawn fire from conservatives for supporting an expansion of Medicaid in Ohio and, on a hot-button immigration issue, he has said he is open to allowing a pathway to citizenship for people in the U.S. illegally. Senate Democrats unsuccessfully tried tying the air gun reclassification legislation to a bill that would prohibit people from carrying guns in schools, daycare centers, bars, sports arenas and other “pistol-free areas.” Michigan law lets people with a concealed-carry permit openly carry their gun in those locations as long as they do not conceal it.

Anyone who dismisses the idea out of hand, however, should be reminded how absurd the idea was in December 2009 — before Snyder went on the air with his “one tough nerd” Super Bowl ad — of an unknown businessman who had never run for political office winning the governorship. He wanted to prohibit open carry in those places in exchange and to let schools and other entities opt out if they did not want concealed pistols on site. I can’t determine everything.” The Ann Arbor Public School Board responded to the open carry controversy by adopting a “dangerous weapon and disruption-free zone” prohibiting guns on all district-owned property. Still, both men have compiled records of accomplishment in their home states, and both are traveling the country to spotlight their efforts to repair the broken economies they inherited.

Since then, Snyder has pulled off some other unlikely feats, including pushing an unpopular tax on pensions through the GOP-controlled and tax-averse Legislature and getting approval from lawmakers for a $194.8-million state contribution to the Detroit bankruptcy settlement known as the grand bargain. “I continue to believe that Gov. And some Michigan Republicans are certain that Snyder’s mild-mannered, wonkish, “tough nerd” persona obscures some serious presidential ambitions. “Governor Rick Snyder looks into a mirror and sees a president looking back at him,” says Dennis Lennox, a veteran of Michigan Republican politics, including Mitt Romney’s primary campaigns in 2008 and 2012. “The whole Snyder-for-prez thing has gone from a far-fetched rumor a few months ago to something that seems very serious, especially given his explosion onto the national stage in the past week or so.” “This has everything to do with the much-overlooked RNC rule 40, which will prolong the nomination contest more than anyone thinks and makes it very unlikely that there will be a nominee by April of next year,” Lennox says. “Combined with the power of blue-state Republican primaries, as well as even the U.S. territories, it’s possible for a dark-horse candidate, such as Governor Snyder, to accumulate enough delegates to become a kingmaker.” Under rule 40, “each candidate for nomination for President of the United States and Vice President of the United States shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states, severally, prior to the presentation of the name of that candidate for nomination.” In a sufficiently large field, it’s conceivable that no candidate will meet that threshold — or it’s possible that more than one wins a majority of the delegates in eight states. Snyder can be a viable candidate for the nomination,” said Charlie Black, a political strategist who counts former Presidents Ronald Reagan and George Bush among the Republican candidates he has advised. State law preempts local units of government from adopting their own gun regulations, according to the complaint. “They can’t stop them,” Green said of open carry gun owners. ” Nobody has to obey the rule. Snyder, which probably says something in itself,” Stuart Rothenberg, founding editor of the nonpartisan Washington, D.C.-based Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, told the Free Press . “I start out skeptical.” Snyder won the GOP gubernatorial nomination in Michigan by winning a single, five-way primary in which all the other candidates were more conservative than he was.

Another Michigan Republican, who favors another candidate and doesn’t want to be identified, suggests that Snyder aims to keep his name out there as a potential vice president or cabinet selection. Bush’s case, a similar brand of independence from conservative orthodoxy on education and immigration. “My guess is that both will enter the race, and both have had great success as governors,” said Fred Malek, a Republican fundraiser who heads the finance committee of the Republican Governors Association. “If they enter, they would crowd Bush and Walker a bit, but they add to our best ever field of qualified candidates.” Mr. Michigan governors have been limited to two terms since a 1992 constitutional amendment, so Snyder will need something to do starting in January 2019.

If Snyder were to take a cabinet position or the VP slot in a Republican administration, he would resign in late 2016 or early 2017, allowing his lieutenant governor, Brian Calley, to ascend to the governorship and run in 2018 as an unelected incumbent governor. Some observers think Snyder, while telling Michigan’s story in a positive way, also wants to raise his own profile, raising the likelihood he could be chosen as a running mate or for a cabinet post in the next administration. But even if the field were less crowded — and didn’t already feature one Republican governor of a usually Democratic blue-collar midwestern state in Walker, and perhaps another in Ohio governor John Kasich — Snyder would offer Republicans an unusual choice.

Snyder’s travel costs are being offset through funds raised by a recently formed nonprofit headed by two Michigan businessman and Snyder friends, former state party chairman Bobby Schostak and Bill Parfet, the wealthy head of MPI Research in Mattawan. Harry Enten of FiveThirtyEight.com concluded, “Using our aggregated ideological scale that takes into account congressional voting records (inapplicable to Snyder), fundraising, and public issue statements, Snyder is to the left of everyone in the Republican field save New Jersey Gov.

The GOP presidential schedule starts in January with caucuses in Iowa, a state where Snyder has connections because he worked there, in Sioux City, when he was a top executive at Gateway Computers in the 1990s — though he actually lived just across the border in South Dakota. “We’d love to have Rick come to Iowa,” said Jim Wharton, a former Sioux City mayor who worked for Snyder at Gateway and penned an op-ed piece touting Snyder that appeared in the local newspaper on Sunday. “Gov. Snyder has turned Michigan around and done it with a coalition of conservatives and liberals,” Wharton said in the op-ed. “It seems our Michigan friends believe that jobs, education and attention to the under-served are fairly important, and that’s where Rick has chosen to make his mark.” That’s stronger praise than Snyder receives from many political quarters in Michigan, where numerous GOP congressional districts have voted to oppose the Proposal 1 sales tax hike and road funding measure he is pushing. And it’s unlikely Snyder could be elected Republican Party chairman, due to an active tea party wing that has opposed several Snyder initiatives. “Is he really going to put a serious campaign together and spend time campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire?” asked Rothenberg. “He is very unknown to most Republicans nationally, and he has a long way to go before he becomes a factor in the race. Snyder’s Iowa ties raise the possibility of him making a play for a strong showing in the caucuses, or perhaps raising his national profile by competing in the Iowa Republican Straw Poll in Ames in August — though that event has lost much of its former luster. On his national tour, he’s touting the success of the “grand bargain” that “cuts Detroit government workers’ pensions by 4.5 percent, erases $7 billion of the estimated $18 billion owed by the city from its balance sheet, and earmarks $1.7 billion to attack the deferred maintenance for the city’s essential services, including police and fire protection.” But the Mackinac Center for Public Policy analyzed Snyder’s State of the State addresses and concluded that he averages seven proposed expansions of government for every two proposed limitations of government.

And Snyder’s the opposite of a social-conservative crusader, going as far as to tell reporters, “Social issues, generally, I don’t take a position.” Snyder’s name was a last-second addition to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted April 23-26 of how Iowans view potential Republican candidates, said PPP director Tom Jensen. That made him easily the least recognized of 18 potential candidates included in the survey. “Snyder probably does have a story to tell,” but he’s not conservative enough for Iowa, where the polls show many Republicans have already found candidates they like, Jensen said. “It may be too late for Snyder to really make an impact there,” he said. And “he’s going to be a much more serious contender in New Hampshire, than Iowa.” Jensen also questioned whether Michigan is perceived nationally as an economic comeback story and said running a Republican campaign based on “the good things he did for Detroit (is) a very hard sell.” “I’m more active making comments (about the presidency), but that also aligns well with telling the Michigan story,” Snyder told reporters in Lansing on Wednesday. “I was out telling the Michigan story and the response was great. The initiative — which faces an uphill fight, according to recent polls — is opposed by Americans for Tax Reform, the conservative group that for decades has asked Republican candidates for president and other offices to sign a pledge to never raise taxes.

Snyder will be what he does in response: look for other ways to raise taxes, or find budget-cutting government reforms to help finance highway improvements. “If he shifts to government reform, it would be in the rear-view mirror and he would be a serious candidate for president,” said Mr. Norquist said, “I think it would make it very difficult for him to run for president in a field of other governors who governed without raising taxes.” Of course it remains unclear whether either of these Midwestern governors will jump into the race. But at this stage, the prospect of a crowded field without a decisive front-runner could prove to be an enticement. “It happens in every cycle,” said GOP pollster Kellyanne Conway.

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