- The Dow Jones extended 250 points on Tuesday at its peak.
- The Fed’s latest rate call looms ahead in the midweek.
- Tariff threats from US President Trump hang over the markets.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose around 250 points on Tuesday at its highest point, climbing one-half of one percent and chalking in a fresh eight-week high as investors shrug off fresh volatility in the face of renewed trade war threats from United States (US) President Donald Trump. The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest rate call is on the cards for this week. While traders are always on the lookout for signs of future rate cuts from the Fed, market attention has been split between a fresh round of tariffs being threatened by President Trump and the tech sector getting dominated by new Chinese entrants to the space.
US Durable Goods Orders contracted further in December, falling 2.2% versus the expected rebound of 0.8%. However, the figure remains well within recent norms. Durable Goods Orders Excluding Automotive purchases rose 0.3%, falling just shy of forecasts but still recovering from the previous month’s -0.2% contraction. It’s no surprise the pace of vehicle purchasing is slowing: US consumers are saddled with nearly $1.7 trillion in automotive debt, representing nearly a tenth of all consumer debt, including mortgages, with car payments outpacing student loans or credit cards.
US President Donald Trump hit the ground running late Monday, revitalizing his sweeping tariff threats and renewing his promises to impose stiff import fees on a wide range of foreign goods and entire industry sectors. The latest iteration of President Trump’s plans to tax US consumers until foreign businesses move their factories include ambiguous levies on steel, copper, aluminum, various and “other” semiconductors, as well as foreign microprocessors in general.
Convincing all of these sectors to move production to the US is a tall bid as the US is generally cost-prohibitive to construct factories in, and US labor tends to command a level of wages that are multiples above the typical wages found in other countries where industrial goods are produced in large quantities. Import fees are unlikely to have much effect except to drive inflation and suppress consumer spending.
The Fed is slated to deliver its latest rate call on Wednesday. No moves on the fed funds rate is expected this week, but traders will be tuning in for any developments in the warming drama between Fed Chair Jerome Powell and President Trump. The Fed enjoys a high level of autonomy that puts control of interest rates out of reach of the White House, a fact that President Trump has lamented about in the past. Donald Trump’s latest statements that he will “demand” lower interest rates are sure to weigh on Chair Powell’s press conference this week.
Dow Jones news
Despite some thin losses spread around the bottom half of the Dow Jones. Key industrial leaders are gaining ground, outpacing the losers and bolstering the overall equity index. Boeing (BA) rose 6.5% to $186 per share, followed by Salesforce (CRM) which climbed 5.5% to $366 per share.
Dow Jones price forecast
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is well on its way to etching in a third straight positive week, a welcome reprieve for bulls after struggling to recover their footing through a six-week backslide that kicked off at the Dow’s record highs above 45,000 last November. The DJIA is set to break through previous peaks and set new all-time highs.
Dow Jones daily chart
Economic Indicator
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation
The Durable Goods Orders measures, released by the US Census Bureau, the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, excluding the transport sector. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as Bearish.
Last release: Tue Jan 28, 2025 13:30
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 0.3%
Consensus: 0.4%
Previous: -0.1%
Source: US Census Bureau
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