NFL Week 4 gambling preview: Picks from around the league

Matthew Holleran September 29, 2024

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NFL Week 4 gambling preview: Picks from around the league

Week 4 of the regular season is here. Today we take a look at this week’s slate from a gambling standpoint and give you some of our best picks.

All lines/odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Favorite Of The Week

Washington Commanders v Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 (-128) at Carolina Panthers

The Bengals have gotten off to a dreadful start this season. Cincinnati lost its first three games, including losing to two of the worst teams in the NFL from last season: the New England Patriots and Washington Commanders.

As bad as things have been, the Bengals’ offense has started to find its way. Last week against Washington, Cincinnati scored 33 points and recorded 436 yards of total offense. They rank fourth in the NFL in Offensive EPA/Play (0.123) and third in the league in Offensive Success Rate. (51.1%)

This week they get to face a Panthers team that has struggled on defense. Carolina has given up 47,26, and 22 points in their three games and has allowed all three of their opponents to record over 325 yards of offense.

This may seem like a square pick, but it will not matter. Cincinnati’s offense is going to put up plenty of points on Sunday, giving me confidence they will cover the 4.5-point spread.

Underdog Of The Week

NFC Wild Card Playoffs - Philadelphia Eagles v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-115)

As great as it would be to see Philadelphia drop a game, I promise this is not just an anti-Eagles pick. The Eagles escaped New Orleans with a win in Week 3, but nothing they did on the offensive side of the ball should inspire much confidence moving forward.

To make matters worse for the Eagles, wide receiver DeVonta Smith has been ruled out with a concussion, and wideout A.J. Brown and tackle Lane Johnson are both questionable. Even if Brown and Johnson do play, they will be nowhere close to 100%.

You could make a solid argument that Smith, Brown, and Johnson are three of the best seven or eight players on the Eagles’ roster. They’ll face a tough task this week going up against a Tampa Bay team that is looking for a bounce-back performance.

The Buccaneers are much better than they looked in last week’s loss to the Denver Broncos. This Sunday we’re going to see them look more like the team that beat the Lions in Week Two.

Tampa Bay is getting 47% of the bets and 69% of the money, giving me even more confidence in this pick. Give me the Buccaneers to cover and win the game outright.

Three-Team Moneyline Parlay of The Week

Bengals ML/Falcons ML/Cardinals ML +265 ($10 pays $36.50)

We saw the Saints get exposed for what they really are last week against the Eagles, and the Falcons are going to continue to prove they were a fluke this Sunday. Atlanta should be able to slow down the Saints’ passing attack and put up enough points to win this game. Another team we are going to see come crashing down to earth this Sunday is the Washington Commanders. Arizona is favored by 3.5 points despite Washington’s huge upset win on Monday night. That should tell you all you need to know.